Category: Turkey


The developments this week indicate the Palestinian Authority is wanting to be granted statehood by the UN.  To me this process has been heading this way for a long time but really picked up steam last year when Israel stormed the flotilla that was headed to Gaza that had its origin in Turkey.  Fast forward to today and Turkey has all but broken diplomatic relations with Israel, Egypt and Jordan who have peace treaties with Israel and say they are still committed to the treaty but their public statements are tepid at best.  Turkey is on the front line leading these Arab nations into what I believe will be an eventual confrontation.

Turkey is considering sending naval warships to escort the next flotilla that is headed to Gaza in what would no doubt be a confrontation with the Israeli Navy.  The pace of this future confrontation is picking up steam and I believe will occur in the not to distant future.  If Egypt and Jordan decide the peace treaty is no longer in their best interest then Israel is once again surrounded on all sides by hostile countries.  For whatever reason Turkey is taking the lead on this and the only conclusion I can draw as they want Israel out-of-the-way because in their minds this will solve the Palestinian dilemma and the crisis and turmoil that always surround Israel and the Palestinians.

Maybe the Palestinians should have a state and a compromise worked out, but appears to me the elimination of the Jewish state is on the agenda which is in line with what Ahmadinejad of Iran wants.  And to those of you who the United States will stand by Israel at all costs, think again. As rapidly as the world changes and especially in the Middle East don’t be surprised in the United States tells Israel they are on their own.

 

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A recent article that I came across indicated that Russia was selling Syria advanced anti-ship missiles call the P-800 which are supersonic cruise missiles.   Now to those of you that are not very good at geography I will explain why this is odd the Syrians would need advanced anti ship missiles. To the west of Syria is Lebanon which is on the Mediterranean sea and to the south of Lebanon is Israel in which they share a border.  Syria does have some access the Mediterranean sea but it is well north of Israel and Israeli patrol boats do not patrol north of Lebanon near the Syrian and Turkish border.

So the only logical conclusion is the Russians are selling these missiles to Syria so at some point they can be transferred to Hizbullah for use in the next war with Israel. In the previous war Hizbullah used a surface-to-sea missile to hit an Israeli ship so it seems Hizbullah through Syria maybe getting their hands on more advanced missile systems.  The signs are all around with these types of stories of Hizbullah arming in Southern Lebanon, Syria obtaining advanced weapons, and Hamas trying to get their hands on more weapons indicating the preparations for war are taking place.

I have posted a link to the article below:

Russia to supply Supersonic missiles to Syria, despite Israel protest

http://www.jpost.com/

I had posted about Turkey changing its policies and siding with nations such as Syria, Iran and the terror group Hamas after a log relationship with Israel as one of their key allies.   It was reported that Turkish Prime Minister Edrogan said “Hamas was a resistance movement fighting for their land and not a terror organization”.  He indicated Hamas was elected which is true as I remember the Bush administration had pushed for Democratic elections in which the Palestinian people voted for Hamas and they won.  So okay, they won and would have been allowed to govern after Israel withdrew from Gaza but they began to fire rockets over the border so I still believe they are a terror organization and not a resistance movement.

I know Turkey has elected leaders who adhere to more Islamic policies but it is puzzling that in the last few years they have decided to side with Iran and Syria against Israel even though they are still part of NATO they continue to pursue this path.  I think another reason is because Turkey has wanted to join the European Union and has been rejected several times so maybe they have decided to say “screw it” we will change course and try a different direction.  Another reason they feel confident could be the diminishing power or influence of the United States.  Obviously, as other nations emerge like India, China, Brazil the lone superpower in the world has less influence on other countries and I believe this is beginning to happen.

There will continue to be a realignment of these nations, but I believe the are Arab countries of the Persia Gulf such as UAE, Oman, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia will continue to side with the U.S. and while they want to see a settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian they will not openly change sides to Iran or Syria.  This will be a constant chess match in this area for the forseeable future.

I had posted previously about a new alignment in the Middle East with Russia emerging as a new power broker and aligning themselves with the Islamic countries.  I just located several articles to prove my point. One states “Russia, Turkey becoming strategic partners-Medvedev (President of Russia) and “Medvedev looks to bring Syrian back into sphere of influence”. I have posted the links to the articles as well.

All nations look out for their own interest but as it was in the cold war when the Soviet Union sided with the Arab nations against Israel you now have the same situation going on again with Russia building alliances with Iran, Syria, and now Turkey.  I believe the end game is to deal with Israel once and for all in the minds of these countries. Look at the current U.S. position in regard to Jerusalem which as always been the jewish capital.  The U.S. is putting pressure on Israel to give the Palestinians East Jerusalem as their capital.   It is sad to say but until one side is utterly defeated all this drama will not end.  Just look at the example of North Korea, they were not totally defeated in the Korean war and look at the problems with that nation today.  If they had been defeated back in the 1950’s then maybe there would not be the problem of them developing ballistic missiles and sinking South Korean Naval Ships!!

I have made several posts about Israel’s raid on the so-called “humanitarian flotilla”.  As more light is shed about the activists on board we come to find out they are a Turkish charity group with possible ties to terror groups and this flotilla has the support of the Turkish Government.  To me this is a very troubling development that Turkey is becoming heavily involved in trying to draw attention to the Israeli-Palestinian issue in this way.  Since the last Turkish election the government has become more Islamic and appears to be supporting countries such as Iran, Syria, and the Hamas organization.

What makes it even more troubling is that Turkey is part of NATO and all countries in this organization should have a common goal, but appears Turkey has their own agenda in the case of recent events involving Israel and its attack on the flotilla. I have heard reports that Turkey may even send its own Naval ships to protect the next flotilla of ships to Gaza.  I think these countries do this order to get Israel to respond because they know this is what Israel will do and then these countries, UN  and others make hay out of this and condemn Israel.

I see the following scenario developing in the Middle East; Turkey will continue to drift away from the U.S. and Israel in regard to its polices and will become closer allies of Syria and Iran.  Turkey may do this to grow their influence and power like they had in the days of the Ottoman Empire. Also, Russia will back these nations with support and weapons as they do now and will continue to put pressure on Israel.  I believe some major event will ensue where the U.S. tells Israel we cannot support them and then these nations will build some kind of coalition against Israel, kind of like what the Bush’s did in Desert Storm and the current Iraq war.  This coalition will issue some kind of ultimatum that Israel will have to refuse and then launch some kind attack.

All this fighting and agitation has been going since Israel became a nation in 1948 and some of these nations and peoples around the world are thinking the only way to solve it is to remove Israel and I am afraid this is how some will try to accomplish it.